816
FXUS65 KVEF 010539
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1039 PM PDT Sat Oct 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Widespread wetting rain moves in late tonight and continues
  through Sunday afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall and a few
  instances of flash flooding will be possible.

* Conditions dry out on Monday as gusty north winds pick up across
  the region. Temperatures remain slightly below normal next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...through next weekend.

After spotty stronger storms passed through the region this evening,
the night brings widespread stratiform rain. Most rainfall rates
look to stay light to moderate but there will be potential for
locally increased rain rates. Some of these increased rain rates
look to be focused on higher peaks as well as in portions of Mohave,
Lincoln, eastern Clark, and far eastern San Bernardino counties. The
trend of persistent rain will lead to some flood risk, but the
moments increased rain rates over these areas will cause concern for
flash flooding. Into the mid morning, higher resolution models show
breaks in the rain but still offer scattered showers into the
afternoon. Breezy to gusty winds will build as we begin to see some
of those breaks in rain. Shower activity begins to erode into the
late afternoon and early evening with winds reducing into the night.
The last line of showers could offer spotty storm chances before
they exit into that night.

Rainfall totals will favor the more eastern areas with higher
elevations in Mohave Co looking to break 2 inches of rainfall
overnight. The rest of Mohave Co and most of Lincoln Co will range
between 0.75 and 1.5",the Colorado River Valley looks to range from
0.5 to 1", Las Vegas will be 0.25 to 0.5" and the rest of the region
will be up to 0.5".

The rest of the forecast looks calm and cool with some potential for
for wind conditions next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...
Widespread rain is moving into the region with mostly light to
moderate rain rates expected. CIGs to fall to 6000 ft AGL then to
4000 ft by the late night with moments of MVFR-level CIGs possible
into the early morning. CIGs begin to improve into the mid morning,
as showers become become more spotty and breezy southwest winds
build. Gusts increase to around 25 kts by Sunday afternoon but winds
look to ease into that night as the last of the showers exit.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Showers are becoming widespread and will last through
the night. Some waves of showers into the early to mid morning will
offer moments of lowered CIGS (around 2000 ft AGL) possible. Breezy
to gust west to southwest winds arrive into the mid to late morning
as rain activity becomes more spotty. Showers begin to erode from
the west to east Sunday afternoon with winds beginning to reduce for
most areas as showers exit. KDAG and KBIH look to remain breezy and
gusty into Sunday night.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION...Murdock


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NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office